Proteins that predict future dementia, Alzheimer's risk, identified

The findings are based on new analyses of blood samples of over ten thousand middle-aged and elderly people -- samples that were taken and stored during large-scale studies decades ago as part of an ongoing study. The researchers linked abnormal blood levels of 38 proteins to higher risks of developing Alzheimers within five years. Of those 38 proteins, 16 appeared to predict Alzheimer's risk two decades in advance.

Although most of these risk markers may be only incidental byproducts of the slow disease process that leads to Alzheimer's, the analysis pointed to high levels of one protein, SVEP1, as a likely causal contributor to that disease process.

The study was published May 14 in Nature Aging.

"This is the most comprehensive analysis of its kind to date, and it sheds light on multiple biological pathways that are connected to Alzheimer's," says study senior author Josef Coresh, MD, PhD, MHS, George W. Comstock Professor in the Department of Epidemiology at the Bloomberg School. "Some of these proteins we uncovered are just indicators that disease might occur, but a subset may be causally relevant, which is exciting because it raises the possibility of targeting these proteins with future treatments."

More than six million Americans are estimated to have Alzheimer's, the most common type of dementia, an irreversible fatal condition that leads to loss of cognitive and physical function. Despite decades of intensive study, there are no treatments that can slow the disease process, let alone stop or reverse it. Scientists widely assume that the best time to treat Alzheimer's is before dementia symptoms develop.

Efforts to gauge people's Alzheimer's risk before dementia arises have focused mainly on the two most obvious features of Alzheimer's brain pathology: clumps of amyloid beta protein known as plaques, and tangles of tau protein. Scientists have shown that brain imaging of plaques, and blood or cerebrospinal fluid levels of amyloid beta or tau, have some value in predicting Alzheimer's years in advance.

But humans have tens of thousands of other distinct proteins in their cells and blood, and techniques for measuring many of these from a single, small blood sample have advanced in recent years. Would a more comprehensive analysis using such techniques reveal other harbingers of Alzheimer's? That's the question Coresh and colleagues sought to answer in this new study.

The researchers' initial analysis covered blood samples taken during 2011-13 from more than 4,800 late-middle-aged participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, a large epidemiological study of heart disease-related risk factors and outcomes that has been running in four U.S. communities since 1985. Collaborating researchers at a laboratory technology company called SomaLogic used a technology they recently developed, SomaScan, to record levels of nearly 5,000 distinct proteins in the banked ARIC samples.

The researchers analyzed the results and found 38 proteins whose abnormal levels were significantly associated with a higher risk of developing Alzheimer's in the five years following the blood draw.

They then used SomaScan to measure protein levels from more than 11,000 blood samples taken from much younger ARIC participants in 1993-95. They found that abnormal levels of 16 of the 38 previously identified proteins were associated with the development of Alzheimer's in the nearly two decades between that blood draw and a follow-up clinical evaluation in 2011-13.

To verify these findings in a different patient population, the scientists reviewed the results of an earlier SomaScan of blood samples taken in 2002-06 during an Icelandic study. That study had assayed proteins including 13 of the 16 proteins identified in the ARIC analyses. Of those 13 proteins, six were again associated with Alzheimer's risk over a roughly 10-year follow-up period.

In a further statistical analysis, the researchers compared the identified proteins with data from past studies of genetic links to Alzheimer's. The comparison suggested strongly that one of the identified proteins, SVEP1, is not just an incidental marker of Alzheimer's risk but is involved in triggering or driving the disease.

SVEP1 is a protein whose normal functions remain somewhat mysterious, although in a study published earlier this year it was linked to the thickened artery condition, atherosclerosis, which underlies heart attacks and strokes.

Other proteins associated with Alzheimer's risk in the new study included several key immune proteins -- which is consistent with decades of findings linking Alzheimer's to abnormally intense immune activity in the brain.

The researchers plan to continue using techniques like SomaScan to analyze proteins in banked blood samples from long-term studies to identify potential Alzheimer's-triggering pathways -- a potential strategy to suggest new approaches for Alzheimer's treatments.

The scientists have also been studying how protein levels in the ARIC samples are linked to other diseases such as vascular (blood vessel-related) disease in the brain, heart and the kidney.

First author Keenan Walker, PhD, worked on this analysis while on faculty at the Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine and the Bloomberg School's Welch Center for Prevention, Epidemiology and Clinical Research. He is currently an investigator with the National Institute of Aging's Intramural Research Program.

"Large-scale plasma proteomic analysis identifies proteins and pathways associated with dementia risk" was co-authored by Keenan Walker, Jingsha Chen, Jingning Zhang, Myriam Fornage, Yunju Yang, Linda Zhou, Morgan E. Grams, Adrienne Tin, Natalie Daya, Ron Hoogeveen, Aozhou Wu, Kevin Sullivan, Peter Ganz, Scott Zeger, Elias Gudmundsson, Valur Emilsson, Lenore Launer, Lori Jennings, Vilmundur Gudnason, Nilanjan Chatterjee, Rebecca Gottesman, Thomas Mosley, Eric Boerwinkle, Christie Ballantyne, and Josef Coresh.

The study was supported by grants from the National Institutes of Health (K23 AG064122, K24 AG052573, U01-AG052409, R01-HL134320).